Monday 24 February 2020

Absurdities of our time

Following several storms in the UK, and some really awful images of water pouring through a house in Wales, I see in The Guardian that "more than 11,000 homes in England to be built on land at high risk of flooding." If there's a buck to be made, short-term, that is, there the UK government is to be found. We desperately need some long-term planning, and some strict rules to make sure that government employees cannot earn money elsewhere and have to declare their wealth before and after office, and justify the difference between them. We need big inheritance and wealth taxes to redistribute wealth and stop the obscene plunder that accompanies all these horrible decisions.

The previous Prime Minister, Theresa May, took the UK to war with Syria. As a national policy decision it was immoral and futile. However, her husband, Philip, essentially acted as the unofficial advisor to the Prime Minister while being a Senior Executive at a £1.4Tn investment firm.

The fact that Philip May is both a Senior Executive of a hugely powerful investment firm, and was privy to reams of insider information from the Prime Minister – knowledge which, when it becomes public, hugely affects the share prices of the companies his firm invests in – made Mr May’s official employment a staggering conflict of interest for the husband of a sitting Prime Minister.

Philip May is a Senior Executive of Capital Group, an Investment Firm which buys shares in all sorts of companies across the globe – including thousands of shares in the world’s biggest Defence Firm, Lockheed Martin. Philip May’s Capital Group owned more than 7% of Lockheed Martin in March 2018 – a stake said to be worth more than £7Bn at this time. His Capital Group is the largest Shareholder in BAE. Shares soared with the Syrian airstrikes, following the so-called chemical attack on the city of Douma, now shown to be false and reported at the time as in all probability false by Robert Fisk of The Independent. Those airstrikes saw the debut of a new type of Cruise Missile, the JASSM (each cost more than $1 million), produced exclusively by the Lockheed Martin Corporation. US President Donald Trump  tweeted that the weapons being fired on Syria would be “nice and new and 'smart'!”

The share price of Lockheed Martin soared and Philip May's firm made a fortune.

¡Venezuela, Irán!

Es un tópico en algunas redes sociales, y parece que la extrema derecha no se ha enterado, pero los que han utilizado dinero negro de Venezuela o de Irán no han sido precisamente los de Podemos. No nos van bien las cosas en ningún país que ha seguido el neoliberalismo y, a estas alturas, sería bueno que pusiéramos a los países nórdicos como un buen ejemplo a seguir en muchas cosas (sentido democrático, derechos de la mujer, sanidad, educación, civismo...), pero no lo haremos porque cada vez que se abra un debate sobre el modelo a seguir, la extrema derecha responde con las palabras Venezuela e Irán. Podría yo contestar, "¡Burundi!" o "¡Tanzania!".

Podría, si quisiera ir más al grano, contestar: "¡Saudi Arabia!" Porque ese país, que odia a las mujeres, que trata a los asiáticos como esclavos, que decapita y crucifica a sus disidentes, que está destrozando un país entero en estos mismos momentos (Yemen), que fue el país responsable -si te lo quieres creer- del atentado de las Torres Gemelas, que vende el petróleo y comercializa con la corrupción que garantizan que nuestras instituciones no harán nada frente a la crisis climático que en cuestión de décadas acabará con gran parte de la humanidad, y mandará la restante a la edad de piedra... a ese país los mismos nunca aluden. Es un aliado, receptor de nuestras armas más mortíferas, las que sabemos que están usando contra civiles de uno de los países más pobres del mundo.

No obstante lo que Venezuela e Irán es especialmente relevante, aunque los mismos no lo quieran saber, dado que Podemos no tiene vínculo con dinero negro en ningún país, como ha sentenciado el Tribunal Superior unas 7 veces ya. Es cierto que alguna de su gente ha trabajado como politóloga para varios gobiernos del mundo (ah, ¡Venezuela, Irán!, pero también la UE).

Pero -y dice mucho sobre lo poco serias que son sus fuentes de información- estos días los que sabemos leer -y no solo ver la tele- hemos aprendido que "un alto cargo de la Xunta de Galicia nombrado por Alberto Núñez Feijóo ha trazado un plan en Venezuela para que una fundación pública cubra con fondos propios el agujero de 300.000 euros detectado por el Tribunal de Cuentas en la gestión de las ayudas de emergencia a españoles en aquel país durante 2015 y 2016, dos años electorales.

El secretario general de Emigración de la Xunta de Galicia, Antonio Rodríguez Miranda, un dirigente próximo a Feijóo, formuló esa propuesta en diciembre pasado durante una reunión en la embajada española a la que acudieron el embajador, Jesús Silva, y el cónsul general, Juan José Buitrago."

Tampoco se han enterado de que, en 2017, "el hermano de Ignacio González [está siendo] investigado por negocios y comisiones en Venezuela. Pablo González consiguió contratos en cinco países, participó del reparto de comisiones 'en todos los sentidos' y benefició a su círculo familiar más cercano."

En enero "Vox reconoce que financió su campaña a las europeas con dinero iraní aunque la Ley Electoral lo prohíbe expresamente. La financiación extranjera de partidos durante la campaña electoral está prohibida por el artículo 128.2 de la Ley Electoral. Partidarios en el exilio del grupo de oposición marxista-islámico CNRI financiaron el 80% de la campaña, que costó un millón de euros."

Uno de los problemas no es la falta de ejemplos, sino que ya son tantos, y tan descarados, que es imposible estar al día. Otro es que estos dineros que parecen relativamente modestos son utilizados para trucar el resultado electoral. El gasto de los partidos en las elecciones generales están regulado porque puede -evidentemente- influir el resultado. Tanto Vox como el PP han usado dinero negro para situarse más cerca del poder en unas prácticas que no son compatibles con una democracia.

Y lo más triste es que los votantes que apoyan la extrema derecha, y a la extrema, extrema derecha, no quiere escuchar, ni saber la verdad. No responden a los hechos, sino cambian de tema. Y vuelven a votar por sus partidos que son organizaciones corruptas, o sea, no exclusivamente unos individuos corruptos. Casi con seguridad, son mafia.

Thursday 20 February 2020

The Neo-liberalism Myth

Margaret Thatcher’s neoliberal revolution wasn't just successful because it reorganised the economy – it was successful because it embedded a particular narrative about how wealth is created and distributed in society. This is a world where, so long as there is sufficient competition and free markets, every individual will receive their just rewards in relation to their true contribution to society. Where a rising tide lifts up all the boats. There is, in Milton Friedman’s famous terms, “no such thing as a free lunch”. It’s a world where businesses are the “wealth creators” who create jobs and drive innovation, and business owners are entitled to the financial rewards of success – regardless of how enormous they are. It wasn't like that, of course. Every time that the rich and their companies become insolvent, they are bailed out, from easy bankruptcy for the very rich who are then allowed to refloat themselves with cheap and extravagant loans, through subsidies to large corporations that end up paying no tax, lack of action on fiscal paradises, through to bank bailouts. Socialism for the rich, capitalism for the poor.

Tony Blair and Bill Clinton’s ‘Third Way’ largely accepted this narrative of wealth creation, and until relatively recently nobody in the mainstream of British politics challenged it. It is what is taught in business schools and really nothing alternative is every studied or taught.

The problem, of course, is that it bears little resemblance to how the economy actually works. While it is true that working hard will generally help you earn money, you won't necessarily earn more this way. And the causality doesn’t hold in reverse: not all wealth has been attained through hard work. In practice, the distribution of wealth has little to do with contribution, and everything to do with politics and power. The current campaigns against inheritance and wealth taxes are supported by many people who will not benefit overall from them. The Thatcherite narrative that taxes are bad took hold and the alternative thesis that they are part of a decent, redistributive, collaborative society has been silenced. The narrative that owners are the only important stakeholders is also palpably false, and excludes others affected by economic activity, such as those who live nearby, consumers and workers.

Someone that is born in the UK will earn more than someone born in Sub-Saharan Africa, even if they perform exactly the same labour. Why? Because one was lucky enough to be born in a powerful country with a legacy of imperialism that has rigged the rules of the global economy in its favour. It is the same in London compared to the north of England, say. The economist Branko Milanovic has estimated that 60% of someone’s income is determined by where they were born, and an additional 20% is determined by the income level of their parents. This means that place of birth and parental background accounts for around 80% of someone’s earning power on average.

Within countries, extreme fortunes almost always derive from control over a scare resource – fossil fuels, minerals, land, monopoly networks, money etc. To the early classical economists, this kind of wealth – attained by simply being a gatekeeper to scarce resources – was deemed to be unearned, and they referred to it as ‘economic rent’. But today the Sunday Times Rich List is dominated by rentiers – financiers, real estate tycoons, oil barons, monopolists and aristocrats.

As Grace Blakeley puts it: “You do not become a billionaire through labour. You become a billionaire through inheritance, corruption or economic rents – or, in most cases, some mixture of all three.”

But it’s not just billionaires that accumulate wealth without working. Over a third of all the income in Britain is paid out as capital income (dividends, rents and interest) rather than labour income (wages and salaries). Capital income is inherently passive: it doesn’t correspond to work or skill, but ownership.

Since 1995 three quarters of all wealth accumulated in the UK – totalling £5 trillion – has come from rising house prices. The driving force behind rising house prices has been rising land prices. But land is not a source of wealth but of economic rent. The truth is that most wealth made through the housing market has been gained at the expense of others who are now seeing more of their incomes eaten up by higher rents and larger mortgage payments. The housing boom is not an example of wealth creation, but wealth redistribution on an unprecedented scale.

And then there is inheritance: around £100 billion of wealth is passed on to new owners every year without any corresponding productive activity, much of it escaping any tax.

Overall, the proportion of wealth in western countries that can truly be ascribed to “hard work”, however loosely defined, is infinitesimally small. The idea that Britain is a meritocracy is objectively false.

This means that we should start to recognise that wealth creation is a collective process involving many different interdependent stakeholders – workers, the government, the natural environment, civil society, and, yes, entrepreneurs. It means highlighting how the mechanism linking contribution and reward for each of these stakeholders is fundamentally broken: workers are being paid less than the value they create, owners are appropriating wealth they didn't create, vast profits are being made by destroying our ecosystems, and the role of the state in wealth creation is undervalued. And it means proposing new mechanisms for distributing financial rewards that more accurately reflect the collective nature of wealth creation, and rebalance power between capital and labour.

Crucially, it also means challenging the idea that rising asset prices – Britain’s favourite form of wealth – constitutes wealth creation. As John Stuart Mill wrote back in 1848:

“If some of us grow rich in our sleep, where do we think this wealth is coming from? It doesn’t materialise out of thin air. It doesn’t come without costing someone, another human being. It comes from the fruits of others’ labours, which they don’t receive.”

The extraction of natural resources and the externalisation of costs that are so intrinsic to capitalism are nothing but the transference of wealth from one future generation to the present one. The ownership of land, together with inheritance laws that protect rich families, enables the concentration of wealth in few hands.

Great inequality is incompatible with democracy because money is used to buy power in a corrupted representative system. Learning that there a now more billionaires than ever, individualistic neoliberalism has encouraged the greedy to think that they too might climb up and be the new Jeff Bezos, and to hardly spare a thought for those unfortunates that aren't winners in this winner-takes-all system, accepting the lie that it's mostly their own fault anyway. If they stopped to think about it, there is no millionaire class if everybody's a millionaire. Being rich requires that you can buy the labour and land off those who are poor. As George Carlin said, ‘it's a big club, and you ain’t in it.’

Censorship

"No writing, nor any other statement, should ever be censored, no matter how vile it is. Indeed, if it is vile, then it needs to be exposed, not hidden; because, if it is hidden, then it will fester until it grows in the dark and finally becomes sprung upon a public who have never been inoculated against it by truth, and therefore the false belief becomes actually seriously dangerous and likely to spread like wildfire, because it had been censored before it became public."

Julian Assange, the scourge of censorship and official lies, has been almost a decade imprisoned in various degrees of solitary confinement and deprivation. Meanwhile, he has grown old having committed no crime and having done democracy and the public a huge service. In a few days we shall learn if he's going to be extradited to the US. Any hopes I had died when Labour under Corbyn lost the UK election.

The solution to Facebook's inclusion of massive lies is not to ban lies as already Facebook is grabbing the opportunity to ban inconvenient truth. Nor indeed can we expect Facebook to include these inconvenient truths, as it has no incentive to do so, and yet thrives on scurrilous lies. Instead we should have a public social network, without censorship, perhaps with a label indicating something like "not in accordance with the official facts", in cases of suspected outright lies.

The best way to stop manipulation through lies is of course education. We need to overhaul our education system, making people tech and media savvy and encouraging debate and free thought. Our current system is no longer fit for purpose. We need to be taught not to share outrageous memes and content spread by a few undesirables who increase their presence through lies and slander, getting those offended by them to make them more visible. Lies only take hold when we credit them with our attention. And we need to start taxing the advertising industry to pay for this. Advertising is nothing but psychological manipulation and, as such, it should be treated as a harmful industry.

While progressives wring their hands, wondering why Labour's transformative policies did not convince the public and why they voted instead for smirking, elitist, lying and incoherent Johnson, until the idea that elites are somehow suitable as leaders is questioned, nothing will change. In the US, Trump adopted a sing-song, preacher's voice which subliminally appealed to the white southern voter. People have to be educated to understand the difference between substance and form; to understand how to reason and follow an argument. Until this happens, any erudition or coherence in politics is ultimately like hitting your head against a wall.

In Spain, "apología del franquismo" (apology for the Francoist dictatorship) is soon to be illegal. This is a mistake. Anyone should be allowed to say anything (unless with an intent to cause physical injury), so long as they can back up what they're saying. If they can't, and wish to repeat the lie in a public context, for example in Parliament, they should explicitly have to explain that it is merely their opinion.

The same goes for the ridiculous current situation of never being able to criticise Israel and its zionism, our not being able to boycott Israel, and thus our never being able to defend Palestinians, despite the huge injustice that is being perpetrated against them. The zionists nobbled Ken Livingstone back in the day, and have taken over the entire Conservative Party in the UK, and now the Labour Party. In the US, AIPAC works tirelessly to ensure that all US foreign policy is set by Israel, and that internal policy keeps to the neoliberal narrative that keeps our civilisation hooked on petrol, thereby keeping Israel's importance in the Middle East.

Wednesday 19 February 2020

US elections 2020

It's dispiriting to see how Noam Chomsky seems to be right - again. He says that election spending is a reliable indicator as to who wins US elections. Bernie Sanders, a self-called socialist, who isn't really - he's more a social democrat than anything else but is as close as you can get to a socialist currently in the US -, is again doing well in the primaries, despite really obvious shenanigans, once again. And his personal wealth is not obscene, albeit significant. In the UK, Jeremy Corbyn lost the election two months ago thanks to his own party. Without their constant disparagement, the media and the Conservatives would have sounded like the vested interests they are.

Now, returning to the US, back in November Mike Bloomberg was polling at four percent nationally and had the highest disapproval rating of any potential Democratic presidential candidate. He's an old, white, ugly ex-Republican (and a true Republican at heart), he has a uniquely horrible record and no redeeming traits, but he does have a lot of money.  Crooked Hillary is his running mate, naturally. She represents that large part of the Democratic Party that will prefer anything, literally anything, to a real left-leaning candidate, however mild in his socialism.

Now, after spending $400 million in broadcast, radio and cable ads, $42 million on Facebook ads, $36 million on Google ads, and an unknown fortune on other shady manipulations, a national Quinnipiac poll released last week put Bloomberg at 15 percent nationally in the Democratic primary. This week national polls released by NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist and Zogby put him at 19 and 20 percent, respectively. Sad.

Irish Elections 8.2.2020

I can remember when Sinn Féin was banned and when Bobby Sands, a young elected MP, died on hunger strike. Back then it was said that he'd been manipulated by the party, as if the old, white men who always end up ruling us had any ideology that was worth its salt.


But this time round, Sinn Féin has broken the bipartisan consensus, getting 37 seats, only one less than the party who got most seats. And despite being excluded from the debates (so-called) and being constantly erased from MSM as a serious contender. 

And those who have got used to sharing power in Ireland take the threat of democracy actually meaning something very badly. They are echoing the ridiculous smears levelled at Jeremy Corbyn in the UK election just before last Christmas, talking about bombs and terrorism. The fact is that those living on the streets as a result of the daylight robbery that was foisted on us all in the western world, ie austerity, have a current life expectancy of 42 yrs for men, and 37 for women. And more people have killed themselves since 2008 in Ireland, during these years of so-called austerity, than died during the Troubles (between 1969 and 1998). Micheál Martin, who expected to win and had instead an awful result, retorted to Afshin Rattansi, of Going Underground, that the suicide rate was higher in Northern Ireland, which seemed a particularly stupid thing to say, when being asked why voters turned their back on the 2-party system.

That said, the 2016 Spanish General Election put Podemos, from the "15-M Indignados" movement, in third place and polling had suggested they might get to second place, breaking the two-party system. But their early promise seemed to peter out and subsequent elections had worse results for them. They are now in a coalition government and it remains to be seen if the large, centrist (in a right wing spectrum) PSOE will end up declawing Podemos.